Utebo vs Náxara: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 29Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santa Ana, Utebo
The Footlab AI model makes Utebo the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Náxara. The most likely score is 1-1. If Utebo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,446 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Utebo vs Náxara?
On Elo ratings, Utebo has 1,908 points and Náxara 1,862.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Utebo vs Náxara
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Utebo
Not enough data to predict the Utebo lineup.
Náxara
Not enough data to predict the Náxara lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Utebo have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Náxara have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Arnedo(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Barbastro(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Reddis(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Olot(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | SD Logroñés(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Peña Sport(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Barbastro(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Reddis(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Olot(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Barcelona B(away) | 0-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Utebo wins, 0 draws, 1 Náxara win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Utebo 1-0 Náxara | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Náxara 0-2 Utebo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Náxara 1-0 Utebo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Utebo 3-2 Náxara | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Utebo score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Náxara score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utebo | 0.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Náxara | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Utebo sit 11th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 (7 points from 6 matches) and Náxara sit 15th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Utebo | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 15 | Náxara | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 4 |
A question about Utebo vs Náxara?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Utebo vs Náxara?
- The Footlab AI model makes Utebo the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Náxara.
- Where and when is Utebo vs Náxara played?
- Utebo vs Náxara is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Santa Ana, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.