Utiel vs Soneja: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6Group 6 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Muncipal La Celadilla, Utiel
The Footlab model makes Soneja the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Utiel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Utiel vs Soneja?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Utiel (1,693) and Soneja (1,748).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Utiel have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Soneja have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Vall de Uxó(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Alzira(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Jove Español(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Roda(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | RC Catarroja(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Jove Español(home) | 5-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Roda(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | RC Catarroja(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Torrellano(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Hércules II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Utiel win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Soneja win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Utiel 1-2 Soneja | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Soneja 2-0 Utiel | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Soneja 0-0 Utiel | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Utiel 1-1 Soneja | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 5, 2024 | Utiel 3-1 Soneja | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Soneja 1-1 Utiel | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
How many goals should we expect?
Utiel score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Soneja score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utiel | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Soneja | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Utiel sit 16th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 (31 points from 34 matches) and Soneja sit 10th (45 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Soneja | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 35 | 42 | 45 |
| 16 | Utiel | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 45 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Utiel vs Soneja?
- The Footlab model makes Soneja the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Utiel.
- Where and when is Utiel vs Soneja played?
- Utiel vs Soneja is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Muncipal La Celadilla, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.