Utrera vs Tomares: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 10Group 10 - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San Juan Bosco, Utrera
The Footlab AI model makes Utrera the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Tomares. The most likely score is 1-1. If Utrera wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,370 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Utrera vs Tomares?
On Elo ratings, Utrera has 1,798 points and Tomares 1,742.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Utrera vs Tomares
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Utrera
Not enough data to predict the Utrera lineup.
Tomares
Not enough data to predict the Tomares lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 08:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Utrera have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Tomares have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Linense(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cádiz II(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pozoblanco(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Conil(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sevilla III(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Portuense(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ceuta II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Córdoba II(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Linense(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Utrera wins, 0 draws, 0 Tomares wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2026 | Tomares 0-1 Utrera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Utrera 2-0 Tomares | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Tomares 1-3 Utrera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Utrera 1-0 Tomares | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Jan 19, 2022 | Utrera 1-0 Tomares | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Tomares 1-3 Utrera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
How many goals should we expect?
Utrera score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Tomares score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utrera | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Tomares | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Utrera sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 (15 points from 6 matches) and Tomares sit 5th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Utrera | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Tomares | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 11 |
A question about Utrera vs Tomares?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Utrera vs Tomares?
- The Footlab AI model makes Utrera the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Tomares.
- Where and when is Utrera vs Tomares played?
- Utrera vs Tomares is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Juan Bosco, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 10.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.