Valenciennes vs Aubagne: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 17Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Stade du Hainaut, Valenciennes
The Footlab AI model makes Valenciennes the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Aubagne. The most likely score is 1-1. If Valenciennes wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,547 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Valenciennes vs Aubagne?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Valenciennes (1,768) and Aubagne (1,726).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Valenciennes vs Aubagne
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Valenciennes
4-2-3-1- 11R. Ekra
- 8M. Rouai
- 10D. Diomande
- 19T. Marechal
- 26L. Boiteau
- 21V. Marcel
- 6M. Zogba
- 22D. Goprou
- 2Derrick Abu
- 13C. Rocchia
- 1J. Louchet
Aubagne
4-1-4-1- 17J. Porsan-Clemente
- 27J. Sahraoui
- 7Y. M'Changama
- 18A. Oudjani
- 10K. Cissé
- 9Y. Zemoura
- 23Y. Aradj
- 5R. Doucouré
- 26M. Nehari
- 4R. Valme
- 1I. Touré
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 08:14 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valenciennes have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Aubagne have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cannes(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Amiens(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Versailles(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Le Puy Foot(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | La Roche VF(away) | 2-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Versailles(away) | 0-4 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Le Puy Foot(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | La Roche VF(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Fleury 91(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rouen(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Valenciennes wins, 2 draws, 0 Aubagne wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | Valenciennes 0-0 Aubagne | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Aubagne 1-1 Valenciennes | Ligue 3 |
| May 16, 2025 | Aubagne 0-3 Valenciennes | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 16, 2024 | Valenciennes 1-0 Aubagne | Ligue 3 |
Last archived meeting: Valenciennes vs Aubagne on Mar 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Valenciennes score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Aubagne score 0.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Aubagne | 0.8 | 1.6 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Valenciennes sit 15th in Ligue 3 (9 points from 11 matches) and Aubagne sit 17th (7 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Valenciennes | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 9 |
| 17 | Aubagne | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 7 |
A question about Valenciennes vs Aubagne?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Valenciennes vs Aubagne?
- The Footlab AI model makes Valenciennes the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Aubagne.
- Where and when is Valenciennes vs Aubagne played?
- Valenciennes vs Aubagne is played on January 23, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Stade du Hainaut, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.