Valenii de Munte vs Tricolorul Breaza: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 2Group 2 - 4Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Orășenesc, Vălenii de Munte
The Footlab model makes Valenii de Munte the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Tricolorul Breaza. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Valenii de Munte vs Tricolorul Breaza?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Valenii de Munte (1,318) and Tricolorul Breaza (1,374).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valenii de Munte have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Tricolorul Breaza have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Berca(away) | 2-5 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Kids Tâmpa Braşov(away) | 0-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| May 9, 2026 | Progresul Mogosoaia(home) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| May 2, 2026 | Săcele(away) | 2-7 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Baicoi(home) | 0-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Pucioasa(away) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Înainte Modelu(away) | 2-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Popești-Leordeni(home) | 0-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Agricola Borcea(away) | 0-6 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 1, 2026 | Dunarea Calarasi(home) | 3-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Valenii de Munte win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Tricolorul Breaza win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Tricolorul Breaza 1-1 Valenii de Munte | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Valenii de Munte 1-1 Tricolorul Breaza | Liga III - Serie 4 |
Last archived meeting: Tricolorul Breaza vs Valenii de Munte on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Valenii de Munte score 1.3 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tricolorul Breaza score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valenii de Munte | 1.3 | 2.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Tricolorul Breaza | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Valenii de Munte vs Tricolorul Breaza?
- The Footlab model makes Valenii de Munte the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Tricolorul Breaza.
- Where and when is Valenii de Munte vs Tricolorul Breaza played?
- Valenii de Munte vs Tricolorul Breaza is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Orășenesc, in the Liga III - Serie 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.