Vanuatu United vs South Melbourne: prediction and stats
OFC Pro LeagueGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes South Melbourne the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Vanuatu United. The most likely score is 1-1. If South Melbourne wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,151 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vanuatu United vs South Melbourne?
South Melbourne starts as the favourite with a 174-point Elo edge (1,841 vs 1,667).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vanuatu United vs South Melbourne
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vanuatu United
Not enough data to predict the Vanuatu United lineup.
South Melbourne
4-3-3- 7D. Yoo
- 16A. Cocks
- 11Yuki Uchida
- 21S. Pasquali
- 27J. Painter-Andrews
- 8P. Retre
- 4Marco Jankovic
- 17T. Giannakopoulos
- 23J. Eliopoulos
- 3Jordan Lampard
- 1Javier López
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 07:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vanuatu United have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; South Melbourne have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Central Coast Mariners(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Central Coast Mariners(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 20, 2026 | South Melbourne(away) | 0-4 | OFC Pro League |
| May 17, 2026 | Bula(away) | 2-1 | OFC Pro League |
| May 13, 2026 | Tahiti United(away) | 2-2 | OFC Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Sutherland Sharks(home) | 0-0 | Australian Championship |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Canberra FC(away) | 2-0 | Australian Championship |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Sydney United(home) | 1-1 | Australian Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sutherland Sharks(away) | 1-0 | Australian Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Melbourne Victory(home) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Vanuatu United win, 0 draws, 2 South Melbourne wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | South Melbourne 4-0 Vanuatu United | OFC Pro League |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Vanuatu United 2-0 South Melbourne | OFC Pro League |
| Feb 8, 2026 | South Melbourne 5-2 Vanuatu United | OFC Pro League |
Last archived meeting: South Melbourne vs Vanuatu United on May 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vanuatu United score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; South Melbourne score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanuatu United | 1.6 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| South Melbourne | 1.6 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vanuatu United sit 7th in OFC Pro League (13 points from 14 matches) and South Melbourne sit 2nd (25 points from 14 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2026 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | South Melbourne | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 18 | 25 |
| 7 | Vanuatu United | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 25 | 13 |
A question about Vanuatu United vs South Melbourne?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vanuatu United vs South Melbourne?
- The Footlab AI model makes South Melbourne the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Vanuatu United.
- Where and when is Vanuatu United vs South Melbourne played?
- Vanuatu United vs South Melbourne is played on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 AM (UTC), in the OFC Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.