Vardar Negotino vs Pobeda: result 3-2 and analysis
Second LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 4, 2023 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Cvaj Arena, Negotino
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What was the result of Vardar Negotino vs Pobeda?
Vardar Negotino won 3-2 on November 4, 2023.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vardar Negotino have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Pobeda have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2023 | Bashkimi Kumanovo(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Teteks(home) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Besa Dobërdoll(away) | 1-4 | Second League |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Pelister(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Aresimi(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2023 | Karaorman(home) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Kozuv Gevgelija(away) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Detonit Plachkovica(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Sasa(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Novaci(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
Vardar Negotino score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Pobeda score 1.0 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vardar Negotino | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Pobeda | 1.0 | 1.8 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vardar Negotino sit 12th in Second League (22 points from 30 matches) and Pobeda sit 15th (11 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Vardar Negotino | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 37 | 95 | 22 |
| 15 | Pobeda | 30 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 19 | 117 | 11 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy