Varde vs Aabyhøj: result 2-1 and analysis
Denmark Series - Group 3Regular Season - 8Kick-off on September 28, 2013 at 02:45 PM (UTC)Sydbank Stadion, Varde
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What was the result of Varde vs Aabyhøj?
Varde won 2-1 on September 28, 2013.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Varde have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Aabyhøj have 2, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2013 | AaB II(away) | 3-1 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Sep 14, 2013 | Hedensted(home) | 2-2 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Sep 7, 2013 | Aarhus Fremad II(away) | 1-1 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Aug 31, 2013 | Hobro II(home) | 3-0 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Aug 24, 2013 | Randers Freja(away) | 2-2 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2013 | Hjørring IF(home) | 1-5 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Sep 14, 2013 | Lindholm(away) | 1-5 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Sep 7, 2013 | VRI(home) | 1-0 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Aug 31, 2013 | Vejgaard B(away) | 3-2 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Aug 24, 2013 | Kjellerup(home) | 0-3 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Varde score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 10; Aabyhøj score 1.3 and concede 2.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Varde | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 7/10 | 6/10 |
| Aabyhøj | 1.3 | 2.8 | 1 | 5/8 | 5/8 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy