Varginha EC vs Nacional AC MG: result 2-0 and analysis
Mineiro - 2Regular Season - 4Kick-off on May 11, 2022 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Prefeito Dilzon Luiz de Melo, Varginha, Minas Gerais
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What was the result of Varginha EC vs Nacional AC MG?
Varginha EC won 2-0 on May 11, 2022.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Varginha EC have 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Nacional AC MG have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2022 | Tupynambás(away) | 1-1 | Mineiro - 2 |
| Apr 30, 2022 | Democrata SL(away) | 0-1 | Mineiro - 2 |
| Apr 27, 2022 | Uberaba(home) | 0-1 | Mineiro - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2022 | Uberaba(home) | 0-0 | Mineiro - 2 |
| May 2, 2022 | Ipatinga(home) | 1-1 | Mineiro - 2 |
| Apr 27, 2022 | Coimbra(away) | 2-0 | Mineiro - 2 |
| Oct 2, 2021 | Tupynambás(home) | 0-0 | Mineiro - 2 |
| Sep 27, 2021 | Democrata GV(away) | 0-2 | Mineiro - 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Varginha EC score 0.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 3; Nacional AC MG score 1.1 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Varginha EC | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0 | 1/3 | 0/3 |
| Nacional AC MG | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy