Varteks Varaždin vs Zagora: prediction and stats
Second NLMatchday 13Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Anđelko Herjavec, Varaždin
The Footlab AI model makes Zagora the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Varteks Varaždin. The most likely score is 1-1. If Zagora wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,760 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Varteks Varaždin vs Zagora?
Zagora starts as the favourite with a 167-point Elo edge (1,711 vs 1,544).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Varteks Varaždin vs Zagora
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Varteks Varaždin
4-3-3- 27D. Kovačec
- 24M. Kanceljak
- 7N. Mihalinec
- 10Dejan Glavica
- 11M. Pavlak
- 2L. Rodek
- 23Z. Lesjak
- 6I. Pticek
- 4F. Kukec
- 19M. Korpar Japek
- 22L. Herceg
Zagora
4-3-3- MMatej Maretić
- MM. Ćaleta
- BB. Galić
- DD. Gabrić
- IIvan Krajina
- JJosip Zeljković
- IIvan Abramović
- NN. Danolić
- DD. Barada
- DD. Vranjković
- DD. Lukač
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 07:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Varteks Varaždin have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Zagora have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Lucko(away) | 1-2 | Second NL |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Uljanik(home) | 0-1 | Second NL |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Solin(away) | 0-3 | Second NL |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hrvatski Dragovoljac(home) | 3-0 | Second NL |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Jarun(away) | 0-1 | Second NL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Uskok Klis(home) | 0-2 | Second NL |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Grobničan Čavle(away) | 4-3 | Second NL |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Križevci(home) | 1-1 | Second NL |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Trnje(away) | 2-2 | Second NL |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Slavonija Požega(home) | 2-2 | Second NL |
How many goals should we expect?
Varteks Varaždin score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Zagora score 2.2 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Varteks Varaždin | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Zagora | 2.2 | 2.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Varteks Varaždin sit 15th in Second NL (8 points from 12 matches) and Zagora sit 11th (15 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Zagora | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 26 | 15 |
| 15 | Varteks Varaždin | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 8 |
A question about Varteks Varaždin vs Zagora?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Varteks Varaždin vs Zagora?
- The Footlab AI model makes Zagora the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Varteks Varaždin.
- Where and when is Varteks Varaždin vs Zagora played?
- Varteks Varaždin vs Zagora is played on November 21, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Anđelko Herjavec, in the Second NL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.