Vasas II vs III. Kerületi TUE: prediction and stats
NB III - SoutheastSoutheast - 6Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Illovszky Rudolf Stadion, Budapest
The Footlab model makes III. Kerületi TUE the favourite at 48%, against 21% for a draw and 31% for Vasas II. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vasas II vs III. Kerületi TUE?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Vasas II (1,527) and III. Kerületi TUE (1,621).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vasas II have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; III. Kerületi TUE have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Honvéd II(home) | 3-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Újpest II(home) | 3-5 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Szolnoki MAV FC(away) | 2-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Szegedi VSE(away) | 1-1 | NB III - Southeast |
| May 17, 2026 | Dunaharaszti MTK(home) | 4-4 | NB III - Southeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Majosi(away) | 2-7 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sándorfalva(away) | 3-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hódmezővásárhely(away) | 3-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 9, 2026 | BKV Előre(home) | 2-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Csepel(home) | 2-0 | NB III - Southeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Vasas II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 III. Kerületi TUE win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Vasas II 2-3 III. Kerületi TUE | NB III - Southeast |
| Sep 7, 2025 | III. Kerületi TUE 2-2 Vasas II | NB III - Southeast |
Last archived meeting: Vasas II vs III. Kerületi TUE on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vasas II score 2.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; III. Kerületi TUE score 2.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasas II | 2.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| III. Kerületi TUE | 2.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vasas II sit 8th in NB III - Southeast (5 points from 4 matches) and III. Kerületi TUE sit 3rd (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | III. Kerületi TUE | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 | Vasas II | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vasas II vs III. Kerületi TUE?
- The Footlab model makes III. Kerületi TUE the favourite at 48%, against 21% for a draw and 31% for Vasas II.
- Where and when is Vasas II vs III. Kerületi TUE played?
- Vasas II vs III. Kerületi TUE is played on August 30, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Illovszky Rudolf Stadion, in the NB III - Southeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.