Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Cruz: result 4-1 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 11Kick-off on July 16, 2014 at 12:50 AM (UTC)Arena Pantanal, Cuiabá, Mato Grosso
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What was the result of Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Cruz?
Vasco DA Gama won 4-1 on July 16, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 19′Danilo PiresSanta Cruz
- 34′FabrícioVasco DA Gama
- 41′Douglas da SilvaVasco DA Gama
- 66′Kléber Giacomace de Souza FreitasVasco DA Gama (pen.)
- 75′FabrícioVasco DA Gama
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vasco DA Gama have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Santa Cruz have 7, 8 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2014 | BOA(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| May 31, 2014 | Portuguesa(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| May 28, 2014 | RB Bragantino(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| May 24, 2014 | Joinville(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| May 21, 2014 | Sampaio Correa(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 3, 2014 | Ponte Preta(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| May 31, 2014 | Joinville(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| May 27, 2014 | BOA(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| May 23, 2014 | America Mineiro(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| May 20, 2014 | Oeste(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Vasco DA Gama score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Cruz score 1.3 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasco DA Gama | 1.3 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Santa Cruz | 1.3 | 0.7 | 5 | 10/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy