Match

Vegas vs Étoile du Congo: prediction and stats

Ligue 1Matchday 6Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)

VegasÉtoile du Congo

The Footlab AI model makes Étoile du Congo the favourite at 39%, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Vegas. The most likely score is 0-0. If Étoile du Congo wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,570 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Vegas vs Étoile du Congo?

Étoile du Congo starts as the favourite with a 213-point Elo edge (1,577 vs 1,364).

29%32%39%
Vegas winDrawÉtoile du Congo win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Vegas vs Étoile du Congo

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Vegas

Not enough data to predict the Vegas lineup.

Étoile du Congo

4-3-3
  1. 11Judea Mouandzibi
  2. 8Gautrand Charden Meil Ngouonimba
  3. 9Ferdinand Rochel Kivouri
  1. 21Sagesse Babélé
  2. 10M. Nkounkou
  3. 7Joseph Mbangou
  1. 5Cervelie Ikouma Epoyo
  2. 17Dorvel Dibekou
  3. 4Julfin Ondongo
  4. 20Dalvidi Joel Mack Ondzani
  1. 16Daniel Chansel Massa Mohikola

Computed on November 13, 2026 at 03:45 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vegas have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Étoile du Congo have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Vegas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 2, 2024Étoile du Congo(away)0-3Ligue 1
May 25, 2024Nathaly's(away)2-3Ligue 1
May 17, 2024Diables Noirs(away)2-1Ligue 1
May 10, 2024Inter Club(home)1-2Ligue 1
May 5, 2024V.Club Mokanda(home)0-0Ligue 1
Étoile du Congo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Dauphins Noirs(home)0-0Ligue 1
Oct 30, 2026Céleste(away)1-2Ligue 1
Oct 20, 2026JSK(away)1-0Ligue 1
Mar 23, 2025Diables Noirs(home)3-0Ligue 1
Mar 14, 2025CARA Brazzaville(home)4-0Ligue 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Vegas wins, 0 draws, 2 Étoile du Congo wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 2, 2024Étoile du Congo 3-0 VegasLigue 1
Nov 12, 2023Vegas 0-1 Étoile du CongoLigue 1

Last archived meeting: Étoile du Congo vs Vegas on Jun 2, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Vegas score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Étoile du Congo score 1.5 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Vegas0.91.446/157/15
Étoile du Congo1.50.5104/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2024 season.

Final 2024 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Étoile du Congo1073018424

A question about Vegas vs Étoile du Congo?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Vegas vs Étoile du Congo?
The Footlab AI model makes Étoile du Congo the favourite at 39%, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Vegas.
Where and when is Vegas vs Étoile du Congo played?
Vegas vs Étoile du Congo is played on December 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Ligue 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Vegas and Étoile du Congo