Velden vs Donau Klagenfurt: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SouthSouth - 12Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz Velden, Velden am Wörthersee
The Footlab model makes Velden the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Donau Klagenfurt. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Velden vs Donau Klagenfurt?
Velden starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,737 vs 1,601).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Velden have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Donau Klagenfurt have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wolfsberg(home) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - South |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Treibach(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - South |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Völkermarkt(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bleiburg(home) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - South |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Austria Klagenfurt(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Völkermarkt(away) | 3-5 | Regionalliga - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bleiburg(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wolfsberger AC II(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Austria Klagenfurt(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - South |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Bleiburg(away) | 2-1 | Landesliga - Karnten |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Velden win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Donau Klagenfurt win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2025 | Velden 0-0 Donau Klagenfurt | Landesliga - Karnten |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Donau Klagenfurt 1-0 Velden | Landesliga - Karnten |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Donau Klagenfurt 1-5 Velden | Landesliga - Karnten |
| Aug 15, 2023 | Velden 2-2 Donau Klagenfurt | Landesliga - Karnten |
Last archived meeting: Velden vs Donau Klagenfurt on Apr 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Velden score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Donau Klagenfurt score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velden | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Donau Klagenfurt | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Velden sit 4th in Regionalliga - South (8 points from 4 matches) and Donau Klagenfurt sit 15th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Velden | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 15 | Donau Klagenfurt | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Velden vs Donau Klagenfurt?
- The Footlab model makes Velden the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Donau Klagenfurt.
- Where and when is Velden vs Donau Klagenfurt played?
- Velden vs Donau Klagenfurt is played on October 16, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Velden, in the Regionalliga - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.