Venados FC vs Tepatitlán: result 1-0 and analysis
Liga de Expansión MXApertura - 11Kick-off on October 11, 2025 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Carlos Iturralde Rivero, Mérida
Full time
What was the result of Venados FC vs Tepatitlán?
Venados FC won 1-0 on October 11, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 25′W. MadridVenados FC
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Venados FC have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Tepatitlán have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Correcaminos Uat(away) | 6-3 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Mineros de Zacatecas(home) | 4-3 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Cancún(away) | 0-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Monarcas(home) | 2-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca(away) | 5-4 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | Monarcas(home) | 3-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Mineros de Zacatecas(away) | 3-3 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Tlaxcala(home) | 1-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Irapuato(away) | 0-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Leones Negros UDG(home) | 1-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Venados FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Tepatitlán win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | Tepatitlán 2-2 Venados FC | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Venados FC 1-1 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jan 19, 2024 | Tepatitlán 0-5 Venados FC | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 28, 2023 | Venados FC 5-1 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jan 5, 2023 | Venados FC 1-0 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 20, 2022 | Venados FC 4-2 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
Last archived meeting: Tepatitlán vs Venados FC on Jan 11, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Venados FC score 2.0 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Tepatitlán score 1.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venados FC | 2.0 | 2.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Tepatitlán | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Venados FC sit 2nd in Liga de Expansión MX (7 points from 3 matches) and Tepatitlán sit 16th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Venados FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Venados FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 10 |
| 15 | Tepatitlán | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 3 |
| 16 | Tepatitlán | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy