Venda FC vs Upington City: prediction and stats
1st DivisionRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Thohoyandou Stadium, Thohoyandou
The Footlab model makes Venda FC the favourite at 40%, against 33% for a draw and 27% for Upington City. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Venda FC vs Upington City?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Venda FC (1,604) and Upington City (1,631).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Venda FC have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Upington City have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Lerumo Lions(home) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| May 17, 2026 | Highbury(home) | 1-2 | 1st Division |
| May 10, 2026 | Black Leopards(away) | 1-2 | 1st Division |
| May 3, 2026 | Leicesterfield(home) | 2-0 | 1st Division |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Midlands Wanderers(away) | 0-1 | 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | NWU FC(away) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| May 17, 2026 | Baroka FC(away) | 0-0 | 1st Division |
| May 10, 2026 | Casric Stars(home) | 0-2 | 1st Division |
| May 2, 2026 | Hungry Lions(away) | 0-0 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | University of Pretoria(home) | 2-2 | 1st Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Venda FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Upington City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Upington City 3-1 Venda FC | 1st Division |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Venda FC 1-0 Upington City | 1st Division |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Venda FC 1-1 Upington City | 1st Division |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Upington City 1-0 Venda FC | 1st Division |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Venda FC 0-2 Upington City | 1st Division |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Upington City 2-1 Venda FC | 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: Upington City vs Venda FC on Apr 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Venda FC score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Upington City score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venda FC | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Upington City | 0.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Venda FC sit 11th in 1st Division (1 points from 1 matches) and Upington City sit 10th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Upington City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Venda FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Venda FC vs Upington City?
- The Footlab model makes Venda FC the favourite at 40%, against 33% for a draw and 27% for Upington City.
- Where and when is Venda FC vs Upington City played?
- Venda FC vs Upington City is played on September 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Thohoyandou Stadium, in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.