Ventura County vs Tacoma Defiance: result 3-2 and analysis
MLS Next ProRegular Season - 1Kick-off on March 8, 2025 at 03:00 AM (UTC)William Rolland Stadium, Thousand Oaks, California
Full time
What was the result of Ventura County vs Tacoma Defiance?
Ventura County won 3-2 on March 8, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 15′D. VanneyVentura County
- 52′L. MullerVentura County
- 56′O. De RosarioTacoma Defiance
- 71′D. VanneyVentura County
- 79′O. De RosarioTacoma Defiance
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ventura County have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Tacoma Defiance have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2025 | Orange County SC(away) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Sacramento Republic(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 21, 2024 | Tacoma Defiance(away) | 0-4 | MLS Next Pro |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Real Monarchs(away) | 1-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Sep 30, 2024 | St. Louis City II(home) | 2-3 | MLS Next Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2024 | North Texas(away) | 1-4 | MLS Next Pro |
| Oct 21, 2024 | Ventura County(home) | 4-0 | MLS Next Pro |
| Oct 6, 2024 | St. Louis City II(away) | 0-5 | MLS Next Pro |
| Sep 30, 2024 | Houston Dynamo FC II(home) | 2-0 | MLS Next Pro |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Vancouver Whitecaps II(away) | 1-3 | MLS Next Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ventura County win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Tacoma Defiance win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2024 | Tacoma Defiance 4-0 Ventura County | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 19, 2024 | Tacoma Defiance 2-2 Ventura County | MLS Next Pro |
| Jun 1, 2024 | Ventura County 3-2 Tacoma Defiance | MLS Next Pro |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Ventura County 5-2 Tacoma Defiance | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 17, 2023 | Ventura County 1-1 Tacoma Defiance | MLS Next Pro |
| May 1, 2023 | Tacoma Defiance 3-1 Ventura County | MLS Next Pro |
Last archived meeting: Tacoma Defiance vs Ventura County on Oct 21, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Ventura County score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tacoma Defiance score 2.5 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ventura County | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Tacoma Defiance | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ventura County sit 4th in MLS Next Pro (41 points from 22 matches) and Tacoma Defiance sit 7th (33 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ventura County | 22 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 45 | 28 | 41 |
| 4 | Ventura County | 22 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 45 | 28 | 41 |
| 4 | Ventura County | 22 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 45 | 28 | 41 |
| 4 | Tacoma Defiance | 23 | 11 | 0 | 12 | 33 | 36 | 33 |
| 7 | Tacoma Defiance | 23 | 11 | 0 | 12 | 33 | 36 | 33 |
| 7 | Tacoma Defiance | 23 | 11 | 0 | 12 | 33 | 36 | 33 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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- Mar 8, 2025Crown Legacy2-2New York City II
- Mar 8, 2025Atlanta United II0-1New York RB II
- Mar 9, 2025Houston Dynamo FC II3-1Sporting KC II
- Mar 9, 2025New England II0-0Philadelphia Union II
- Mar 9, 2025Chicago Fire II1-4Huntsville City
- Mar 9, 2025FC Cincinnati II0-1Toronto II