Verden 04 vs BW Lohne: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiedersachsenNiedersachsen - 5Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)A-Platz Hubertushain, Verden (Aller)
The Footlab model makes Verden 04 the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for BW Lohne. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Verden 04 vs BW Lohne?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Verden 04 (1,717) and BW Lohne (1,745).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Verden 04 have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; BW Lohne have 1, 6 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hemmingen(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vorsfelde(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Werder Bremen(home) | 2-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Germania Egestorf(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| May 10, 2026 | Meppen II(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nordhorn(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Spelle-Venhaus(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Germania Egestorf(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| May 16, 2026 | Hamburger SV II(away) | 1-5 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| May 9, 2026 | Schöningen(home) | 4-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
How many goals should we expect?
Verden 04 score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; BW Lohne score 1.2 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verden 04 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| BW Lohne | 1.2 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Verden 04 sit 11th in Oberliga - Niedersachsen (1 points from 2 matches) and BW Lohne sit 6th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | BW Lohne | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | Verden 04 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Verden 04 vs BW Lohne?
- The Footlab model makes Verden 04 the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for BW Lohne.
- Where and when is Verden 04 vs BW Lohne played?
- Verden 04 vs BW Lohne is played on September 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at A-Platz Hubertushain, in the Oberliga - Niedersachsen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 6, 2026Germania EgestorfvsHeeslinger SC
- Sep 6, 2026BersenbrückvsEintracht Braunschw. II
- Sep 6, 2026Spelle-VenhausvsLüneburger SK Hansa
- Sep 6, 2026VorsfeldevsSchwarz-Weiß Rehden
- Sep 6, 2026Drochtersen/Assel IIvsBorussia Hildesheim
- Sep 6, 2026HemmingenvsMeppen II
- Sep 11, 2026Borussia HildesheimvsHemmingen