Verden 04 vs Wilhelmshaven: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiedersachsenNiedersachsen - 7Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)A-Platz Hubertushain, Verden (Aller)
The Footlab model makes Wilhelmshaven the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Verden 04. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Verden 04 vs Wilhelmshaven?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Verden 04 (1,734) and Wilhelmshaven (1,818).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Verden 04 have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Wilhelmshaven have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Drochtersen/Assel II(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hemmingen(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vorsfelde(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Werder Bremen(home) | 2-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Germania Egestorf(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Germania Egestorf(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bersenbrück(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Meppen II(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| May 17, 2026 | Atlas Delmenhorst(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| May 13, 2026 | Wetschen(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Verden 04 win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Wilhelmshaven win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | Wilhelmshaven 4-0 Verden 04 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Verden 04 0-2 Wilhelmshaven | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Wilhelmshaven 0-1 Verden 04 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Verden 04 3-3 Wilhelmshaven | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
Last archived meeting: Wilhelmshaven vs Verden 04 on Nov 30, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Verden 04 score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Wilhelmshaven score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verden 04 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Wilhelmshaven | 1.4 | 1.1 | 7 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Verden 04 sit 8th in Oberliga - Niedersachsen (4 points from 3 matches) and Wilhelmshaven sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wilhelmshaven | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 | Verden 04 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Verden 04 vs Wilhelmshaven?
- The Footlab model makes Wilhelmshaven the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Verden 04.
- Where and when is Verden 04 vs Wilhelmshaven played?
- Verden 04 vs Wilhelmshaven is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at A-Platz Hubertushain, in the Oberliga - Niedersachsen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.