VfB Lübeck vs Werder Bremen II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 16Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Dietmar-Scholze-Stadion an der Lohmühle, Lübeck
The Footlab model makes VfB Lübeck the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Werder Bremen II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfB Lübeck vs Werder Bremen II?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate VfB Lübeck (1,902) and Werder Bremen II (1,860).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfB Lübeck have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Werder Bremen II have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Phönix Lübeck(away) | 0-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 11, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atlas Delmenhorst(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Phönix L. II(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Heider SV(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Weiche Flensburg(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 16, 2026 | St. Pauli II(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Todesfelde(away) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg(home) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 19, 2026 | BFC Preussen(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 VfB Lübeck win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Werder Bremen II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | VfB Lübeck 1-1 Werder Bremen II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Werder Bremen II 4-0 VfB Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| May 16, 2025 | VfB Lübeck 1-6 Werder Bremen II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Werder Bremen II 1-1 VfB Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| May 10, 2023 | Werder Bremen II 2-1 VfB Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Sep 9, 2022 | VfB Lübeck 2-1 Werder Bremen II | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: VfB Lübeck vs Werder Bremen II on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
VfB Lübeck score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Werder Bremen II score 1.7 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Lübeck | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Werder Bremen II | 1.7 | 2.4 | 1 | 11/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfB Lübeck sit 16th in Regionalliga - Nord (2 points from 4 matches) and Werder Bremen II sit 17th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | VfB Lübeck | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
| 17 | Werder Bremen II | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfB Lübeck vs Werder Bremen II?
- The Footlab model makes VfB Lübeck the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Werder Bremen II.
- Where and when is VfB Lübeck vs Werder Bremen II played?
- VfB Lübeck vs Werder Bremen II is played on October 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Dietmar-Scholze-Stadion an der Lohmühle, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Weiche FlensburgvsKickers Emden
- Oct 31, 2026SSV JeddelohvsBremer SV
- Oct 31, 2026Atlas DelmenhorstvsVfB Oldenburg
- Oct 31, 2026HSC HannovervsSV Drochtersen/Assel
- Oct 31, 2026Hamburger SV IIvsHannover 96 II
- Oct 31, 2026St. Pauli IIvsEimsbütteler TV
- Oct 31, 2026TodesfeldevsEintracht Norderstedt
- Oct 31, 2026SchöningenvsPhönix Lübeck