Vicenza Virtus vs Carrarese: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Romeo Menti, Vicenza
The Footlab model makes Vicenza Virtus the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Carrarese. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vicenza Virtus vs Carrarese?
Vicenza Virtus starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (1,962 vs 1,795).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vicenza Virtus have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Carrarese have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Catanzaro(home) | 3-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Catania(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 1-4 | Serie C - Supercoppa Lega Finals |
| May 2, 2026 | Arezzo(away) | 5-2 | Serie C - Supercoppa Lega Finals |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mantova(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Torino(away) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Virtus Entella(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Napoli(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 8, 2026 | Virtus Entella(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Vicenza Virtus win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Carrarese win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2024 | Carrarese 1-0 Vicenza Virtus | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 5, 2024 | Vicenza Virtus 0-0 Carrarese | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
Last archived meeting: Carrarese vs Vicenza Virtus on Jun 9, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Vicenza Virtus score 2.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Carrarese score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vicenza Virtus | 2.2 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Carrarese | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vicenza Virtus sit 1st in Serie B (3 points from 1 matches) and Carrarese sit 14th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vicenza Virtus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 14 | Carrarese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vicenza Virtus vs Carrarese?
- The Footlab model makes Vicenza Virtus the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Carrarese.
- Where and when is Vicenza Virtus vs Carrarese played?
- Vicenza Virtus vs Carrarese is played on November 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Romeo Menti, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.