Vilassar Mar vs Pobla Mafumet: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Xevi Ramon, Vilassar de Mar
The Footlab model makes Vilassar Mar the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Pobla Mafumet. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vilassar Mar vs Pobla Mafumet?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Vilassar Mar (1,689) and Pobla Mafumet (1,700).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vilassar Mar have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Pobla Mafumet have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Grama(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 3, 2026 | Tona(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Lleida Esportiu(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Vilanova(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | L'Escala(away) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2024 | L'Hospitalet(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 5, 2024 | Castelldefels(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 1, 2024 | Badalona II(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | San Cristóbal(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Grama(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Vilassar Mar win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Pobla Mafumet win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2024 | Vilassar Mar 1-0 Pobla Mafumet | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Pobla Mafumet 0-1 Vilassar Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Pobla Mafumet 2-1 Vilassar Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Vilassar Mar 3-1 Pobla Mafumet | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Feb 6, 2022 | Pobla Mafumet 1-0 Vilassar Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 3, 2021 | Vilassar Mar 1-0 Pobla Mafumet | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Vilassar Mar vs Pobla Mafumet on Apr 14, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Vilassar Mar score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Pobla Mafumet score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vilassar Mar | 0.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
| Pobla Mafumet | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Vilassar Mar | 34 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 36 | 38 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vilassar Mar vs Pobla Mafumet?
- The Footlab model makes Vilassar Mar the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Pobla Mafumet.
- Where and when is Vilassar Mar vs Pobla Mafumet played?
- Vilassar Mar vs Pobla Mafumet is played on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Xevi Ramon, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.