Vilhena vs Rolim de Moura: prediction and stats
Rondoniense - 2FinalKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Portal da Amazônia, Vilhena, Rondônia
The Footlab model makes Rolim de Moura the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Vilhena. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vilhena vs Rolim de Moura?
Rolim de Moura starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,593 vs 1,471).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vilhena have 2 wins, 1 draws and 12 defeats; Rolim de Moura have 3, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | Guaporé(home) | 3-3 | Rondoniense |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Barcelona RO(home) | 0-3 | Rondoniense |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Ji-Paraná(away) | 0-2 | Rondoniense |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Genus(home) | 0-3 | Rondoniense |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Porto Velho(away) | 0-3 | Rondoniense |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2025 | Genus(away) | 1-4 | Rondoniense |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Porto Velho(home) | 0-1 | Rondoniense |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Guaporé(home) | 2-2 | Rondoniense |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Barcelona RO(away) | 0-1 | Rondoniense |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Ji-Paraná(home) | 1-2 | Rondoniense |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Vilhena win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Rolim de Moura win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | Vilhena 0-3 Rolim de Moura | Rondoniense |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Rolim de Moura 2-0 Vilhena | Rondoniense |
Last archived meeting: Vilhena vs Rolim de Moura on Mar 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Vilhena score 0.7 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 15; Rolim de Moura score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vilhena | 0.7 | 3.0 | 0 | 5/15 | 12/15 |
| Rolim de Moura | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 5/12 | 4/12 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vilhena vs Rolim de Moura?
- The Footlab model makes Rolim de Moura the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Vilhena.
- Where and when is Vilhena vs Rolim de Moura played?
- Vilhena vs Rolim de Moura is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Portal da Amazônia, in the Rondoniense - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.