Vilkhivtsi vs Nyva Vinnytsya: prediction and stats
Druha LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Vil'khivtsi, Vil'khivtsi
The Footlab model makes Nyva Vinnytsya the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Vilkhivtsi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vilkhivtsi vs Nyva Vinnytsya?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Vilkhivtsi (1,507) and Nyva Vinnytsya (1,556).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vilkhivtsi have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Nyva Vinnytsya have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chornomorets(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nyva Vinnytsya(away) | 2-2 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bratslav Vinnytsia(home) | 0-2 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Nyva Ternopil II(home) | 2-3 | Druha Liga |
| May 24, 2026 | Nyva Ternopil II(home) | 5-0 | Druha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ruh Lviv(home) | 2-2 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vilkhivtsi(home) | 2-2 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi(away) | 1-2 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ruh Lviv(home) | 2-1 | Druha Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Chornomorets(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Vilkhivtsi win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Nyva Vinnytsya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nyva Vinnytsya 2-2 Vilkhivtsi | Druha Liga |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Nyva Vinnytsya 1-0 Vilkhivtsi | Druha Liga |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Nyva Vinnytsya 3-1 Vilkhivtsi | Druha Liga |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Vilkhivtsi 1-2 Nyva Vinnytsya | Druha Liga |
Last archived meeting: Nyva Vinnytsya vs Vilkhivtsi on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vilkhivtsi score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nyva Vinnytsya score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vilkhivtsi | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Nyva Vinnytsya | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vilkhivtsi sit 9th in Druha Liga (1 points from 3 matches) and Nyva Vinnytsya sit 4th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nyva Vinnytsya | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 9 | Vilkhivtsi | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vilkhivtsi vs Nyva Vinnytsya?
- The Footlab model makes Nyva Vinnytsya the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Vilkhivtsi.
- Where and when is Vilkhivtsi vs Nyva Vinnytsya played?
- Vilkhivtsi vs Nyva Vinnytsya is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Vil'khivtsi, in the Druha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.