Villa Espanola vs Progreso: result 1-1 and analysis
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 7Kick-off on November 1, 2014 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Obdulio Varela, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Villa Espanola vs Progreso?
Villa Espanola and Progreso drew 1-1 on November 1, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 68′B. GiordanoProgreso
- 90′Jonathan Daniel Soto Da LuzVilla Espanola
Official lineup for Villa Espanola vs Progreso
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Villa Espanola
- SSantiago Tabaré López Bruzzese
- JJonathan Daniel Soto Da Luz
- MM. Gómez
- NNelson Fernando Cañarte Wrobbel
- JJonathan Alexis Pérez Fernández
- II. Avilés
- VV. Caicedo
- GG. Acosta
- SSergio Damián Santín Francia
- MMathías Nicolás Callero Rodríguez
- MMauricio Daniel Nanni Lima
Progreso
- HHéctor José Foletti Silvera
- CChristian Marcelo Silva de León
- JJorge Fabián Trujillo Cáceres
- MM. Benítez
- BB. Giordano
- AAndrés Kevin Andrada Candiota
- DDiego Martín Cordero da Silva
- MM. Duarte
- MM. Cardozo
- CC. Pimienta
- EEnzo Sebastián Trillas Barindelli
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Villa Espanola have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; Progreso have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2014 | Deportivo Maldonado(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2014 | Plaza Colonia(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2014 | Sportivo Huracan(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2014 | Cerrito(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2014 | Canadian(away) | 4-3 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2014 | Villa Teresa(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2014 | Miramar(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2014 | Cerro Largo(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2014 | Boston River(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 21, 2014 | Rocha(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Villa Espanola score 2.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 6; Progreso score 1.0 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villa Espanola | 2.2 | 1.3 | 2 | 4/6 | 3/6 |
| Progreso | 1.0 | 1.4 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy