Villa Valle vs Caldiero Terme: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 28Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo Comunale Villa D'Almè, Villa D'Almè
The Footlab model makes Caldiero Terme the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Villa Valle. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villa Valle vs Caldiero Terme?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Villa Valle (1,688) and Caldiero Terme (1,708).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villa Valle have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Caldiero Terme have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Breno(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Oltrepò(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Caldiero Terme(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Milan II(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Varesina(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Vogherese(away) | 6-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Villa Valle(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sondrio(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Brusaporto(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Villa Valle win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Caldiero Terme win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Caldiero Terme 1-1 Villa Valle | Serie D - Girone B |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Villa Valle 2-1 Caldiero Terme | Serie D - Girone B |
| May 5, 2024 | Villa Valle 2-4 Caldiero Terme | Serie D - Girone B |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Caldiero Terme 1-0 Villa Valle | Serie D - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Caldiero Terme vs Villa Valle on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Villa Valle score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Caldiero Terme score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villa Valle | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Caldiero Terme | 1.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villa Valle sit 9th in Serie D - Girone B (47 points from 34 matches) and Caldiero Terme sit 11th (45 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Villa Valle | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 46 | 47 |
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 50 | 40 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villa Valle vs Caldiero Terme?
- The Footlab model makes Caldiero Terme the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Villa Valle.
- Where and when is Villa Valle vs Caldiero Terme played?
- Villa Valle vs Caldiero Terme is played on March 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo Comunale Villa D'Almè, in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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