Match

Villa Valle vs Caldiero Terme: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 28Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo Comunale Villa D'Almè, Villa D'Almè

Villa ValleCaldiero Terme

The Footlab model makes Caldiero Terme the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Villa Valle. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Villa Valle vs Caldiero Terme?

A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Villa Valle (1,688) and Caldiero Terme (1,708).

Villa Valle win36 %
Draw28 %
Caldiero Terme win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villa Valle have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Caldiero Terme have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Villa Valle
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Breno(away)1-2Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026Oltrepò(home)1-3Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026Caldiero Terme(away)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026Virtus Ciserano Bergamo(home)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 2, 2026Milan II(away)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Caldiero Terme
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Varesina(home)2-2Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026Vogherese(away)6-0Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026Villa Valle(home)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026Sondrio(away)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 2, 2026Brusaporto(home)1-2Serie D - Girone B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Villa Valle win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Caldiero Terme win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 19, 2026Caldiero Terme 1-1 Villa ValleSerie D - Girone B
Dec 7, 2025Villa Valle 2-1 Caldiero TermeSerie D - Girone B
May 5, 2024Villa Valle 2-4 Caldiero TermeSerie D - Girone B
Dec 20, 2023Caldiero Terme 1-0 Villa ValleSerie D - Girone B

Last archived meeting: Caldiero Terme vs Villa Valle on Apr 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Villa Valle score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Caldiero Terme score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Villa Valle1.01.4310/156/15
Caldiero Terme1.81.5211/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Villa Valle sit 9th in Serie D - Girone B (47 points from 34 matches) and Caldiero Terme sit 11th (45 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Villa Valle3413813434647
11Caldiero Terme3410159504045

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Villa Valle vs Caldiero Terme?
The Footlab model makes Caldiero Terme the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Villa Valle.
Where and when is Villa Valle vs Caldiero Terme played?
Villa Valle vs Caldiero Terme is played on March 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo Comunale Villa D'Almè, in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Villa Valle and Caldiero Terme

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