Match

Villa Valle vs Chievo: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 33Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo Comunale Villa D'Almè, Villa D'Almè

Villa ValleChievo

The Footlab model makes Chievo the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Villa Valle. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Villa Valle vs Chievo?

A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Villa Valle (1,692) and Chievo (1,789).

Villa Valle win32 %
Draw26 %
Chievo win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villa Valle have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Chievo have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Villa Valle
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Breno(away)1-2Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026Oltrepò(home)1-3Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026Caldiero Terme(away)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026Virtus Ciserano Bergamo(home)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 2, 2026Milan II(away)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Chievo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026USD Casatese(away)3-2Serie D - Girone B
May 10, 2026Milan II(home)2-1Serie D - Girone B
May 3, 2026Pavia(home)2-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026Leon Monza e Brianza(away)2-2Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026Castellanzese(home)2-2Serie D - Girone B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Villa Valle win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Chievo win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 2026Chievo 3-1 Villa ValleSerie D - Girone B
Nov 9, 2025Villa Valle 0-2 ChievoSerie D - Girone B
Sep 1, 2024Villa Valle 1-0 ChievoCoppa Italia Serie D

Last archived meeting: Chievo vs Villa Valle on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Villa Valle score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Chievo score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Villa Valle1.01.4310/156/15
Chievo1.71.549/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Villa Valle sit 9th in Serie D - Girone B (47 points from 34 matches) and Chievo sit 3rd (60 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Chievo3418610524360
9Villa Valle3413813434647

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Villa Valle vs Chievo?
The Footlab model makes Chievo the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Villa Valle.
Where and when is Villa Valle vs Chievo played?
Villa Valle vs Chievo is played on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo Comunale Villa D'Almè, in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Villa Valle and Chievo

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