Villalbés vs Sarriana: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 · Matchday 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal A Magdalena, Villalba
The Footlab AI model makes Sarriana the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Villalbés. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sarriana wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,399 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villalbés vs Sarriana?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Villalbés (1,863) and Sarriana (1,934).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Villalbés vs Sarriana
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Villalbés
Not enough data to predict the Villalbés lineup.
Sarriana
Not enough data to predict the Sarriana lineup.
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 02:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villalbés have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Sarriana have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2026 | Arenteiro(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Somozas(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Celta de Vigo III(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Alondras(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Viveiro(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Pontevedra II(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Lalin(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Portonovo SD(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Barco(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Arenteiro(home) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Villalbés wins, 0 draws, 2 Sarriana wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2025 | Sarriana 0-1 Villalbés | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 18, 2025 | Villalbés 0-1 Sarriana | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Villalbés 0-3 Sarriana | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Sarriana 0-1 Villalbés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Sarriana vs Villalbés on May 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Villalbés score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sarriana score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villalbés | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Sarriana | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villalbés sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (14 points from 10 matches) and Sarriana sit 2nd (18 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sarriana | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 18 |
| 9 | Villalbés | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 14 |
A question about Villalbés vs Sarriana?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villalbés vs Sarriana?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sarriana the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Villalbés.
- Where and when is Villalbés vs Sarriana played?
- Villalbés vs Sarriana is played on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal A Magdalena, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.