Vipava vs Rudar Trbovlje: prediction and stats
3. SNL - WestWest - 4Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion ob Beli, Vipava
The Footlab model makes Rudar Trbovlje the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Vipava. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vipava vs Rudar Trbovlje?
Rudar Trbovlje starts as the favourite with a 133-point Elo edge (1,498 vs 1,365).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vipava have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Rudar Trbovlje have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Žiri(home) | 1-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Škofja Loka(away) | 0-5 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 24, 2026 | Dob(home) | 2-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 16, 2026 | Tolmin(away) | 0-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 10, 2026 | Rudar Trbovlje(home) | 1-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Litija(away) | 2-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Šobec Lesce(home) | 0-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 23, 2026 | Dren Vrhnika(home) | 1-4 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 16, 2026 | Dob(away) | 3-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 10, 2026 | Vipava(away) | 0-1 | 3. SNL - West |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Vipava win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Rudar Trbovlje win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Vipava 1-0 Rudar Trbovlje | 3. SNL - West |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Rudar Trbovlje 2-1 Vipava | 3. SNL - West |
Last archived meeting: Vipava vs Rudar Trbovlje on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vipava score 1.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Rudar Trbovlje score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vipava | 1.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Rudar Trbovlje | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vipava sit 14th in 3. SNL - West (0 points from 2 matches) and Rudar Trbovlje sit 6th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rudar Trbovlje | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 14 | Vipava | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vipava vs Rudar Trbovlje?
- The Footlab model makes Rudar Trbovlje the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Vipava.
- Where and when is Vipava vs Rudar Trbovlje played?
- Vipava vs Rudar Trbovlje is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion ob Beli, in the 3. SNL - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.