Virtus Bolzano vs Brian Lignano: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone CGroup C - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Campo Calcio Righi, Bozen
The Footlab model makes Brian Lignano the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Virtus Bolzano. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Virtus Bolzano vs Brian Lignano?
Brian Lignano starts as the favourite with a 184-point Elo edge (1,805 vs 1,620).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Virtus Bolzano have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Brian Lignano have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Modena(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 5, 2024 | Campodarsego(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Mori Santo Stefano(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Portogruaro(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Adriese(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Adriese(away) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Bassano Virtus(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Vigasio(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Portogruaro(home) | 4-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Mestre(away) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
How many goals should we expect?
Virtus Bolzano score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Brian Lignano score 2.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus Bolzano | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Brian Lignano | 2.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Brian Lignano | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58 | 34 | 56 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Virtus Bolzano vs Brian Lignano?
- The Footlab model makes Brian Lignano the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Virtus Bolzano.
- Where and when is Virtus Bolzano vs Brian Lignano played?
- Virtus Bolzano vs Brian Lignano is played on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Calcio Righi, in the Serie D - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.