Virtus Bolzano vs Luparense: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone CGroup C · Matchday 20Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Campo Calcio Righi, Bozen
The Footlab AI model makes Luparense the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Virtus Bolzano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Luparense wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,247 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Virtus Bolzano vs Luparense?
Luparense starts as the favourite with a 192-point Elo edge (1,954 vs 1,762).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Virtus Bolzano vs Luparense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Virtus Bolzano
Not enough data to predict the Virtus Bolzano lineup.
Luparense
Not enough data to predict the Luparense lineup.
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 10:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Virtus Bolzano have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Luparense have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | LME(away) | 3-3 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Nov 1, 2026 | FC Obermais(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Cjarlins Muzane(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Bassano Virtus(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Campodarsego(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Campodarsego(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Calvi Noale(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Altavilla(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sandona(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Este(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Virtus Bolzano win, 0 draws, 4 Luparense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Luparense 4-0 Virtus Bolzano | Serie D - Girone C |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Virtus Bolzano 1-2 Luparense | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Luparense 3-1 Virtus Bolzano | Serie D - Girone C |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Luparense 3-0 Virtus Bolzano | Serie D - Girone C |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Virtus Bolzano 3-2 Luparense | Serie D - Girone C |
Last archived meeting: Luparense vs Virtus Bolzano on Sep 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Virtus Bolzano score 1.2 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Luparense score 1.3 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus Bolzano | 1.2 | 2.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Luparense | 1.3 | 0.6 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Virtus Bolzano sit 15th in Serie D - Girone C (11 points from 11 matches) and Luparense sit 2nd (21 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Luparense | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 17 | 5 | 21 |
| 15 | Virtus Bolzano | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 29 | 11 |
A question about Virtus Bolzano vs Luparense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Virtus Bolzano vs Luparense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Luparense the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Virtus Bolzano.
- Where and when is Virtus Bolzano vs Luparense played?
- Virtus Bolzano vs Luparense is played on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Campo Calcio Righi, in the Serie D - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.