Vis Pesaro vs Reggiana: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 5Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Tonino Benelli, Pesaro
The Footlab model makes Vis Pesaro the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Reggiana. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vis Pesaro vs Reggiana?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Vis Pesaro (1,785) and Reggiana (1,747).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vis Pesaro have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Reggiana have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pescara(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Perugia(away) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Modena(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Cesena(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Ravenna(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Livorno(away) | 1-3 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 8, 2026 | Sampdoria(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| May 1, 2026 | Modena(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Palermo(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Vis Pesaro win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Reggiana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2023 | Vis Pesaro 0-3 Reggiana | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Reggiana 3-0 Vis Pesaro | Serie C - Girone B |
| Mar 15, 2022 | Reggiana 3-1 Vis Pesaro | Serie C - Girone B |
| Nov 7, 2021 | Vis Pesaro 0-3 Reggiana | Serie C - Girone B |
| Nov 17, 2019 | Reggiana 2-1 Vis Pesaro | Serie C - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Vis Pesaro vs Reggiana on Mar 5, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Vis Pesaro score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Reggiana score 0.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vis Pesaro | 1.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Reggiana | 0.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vis Pesaro sit 17th in Serie C - Girone B (0 points from 1 matches) and Reggiana sit 12th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Reggiana | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 17 | Vis Pesaro | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vis Pesaro vs Reggiana?
- The Footlab model makes Vis Pesaro the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Reggiana.
- Where and when is Vis Pesaro vs Reggiana played?
- Vis Pesaro vs Reggiana is played on September 16, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Tonino Benelli, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.