Vitória ES vs Real Noroeste: result 4-1 and analysis
Capixaba1st Round - 5Kick-off on February 26, 2020 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Salvador Venâncio da Costa, Vitória, Espírito Santo
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What was the result of Vitória ES vs Real Noroeste?
Vitória ES won 4-1 on February 26, 2020.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vitória ES have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Real Noroeste have 2, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2020 | Figueirense(home) | 0-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Feb 12, 2020 | Estrela do Norte(away) | 2-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 9, 2020 | Desportiva ES(home) | 1-0 | Capixaba |
| Feb 6, 2020 | CSA(home) | 2-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Feb 1, 2020 | Serra Talhada(away) | 2-0 | Capixaba |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2020 | Rio Branco ES(home) | 0-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 12, 2020 | Rio Branco-VN(home) | 1-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 9, 2020 | Estrela do Norte(home) | 2-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 2, 2020 | Desportiva ES(away) | 2-0 | Capixaba |
| Jan 25, 2020 | Serra Talhada(home) | 0-0 | Capixaba |
How many goals should we expect?
Vitória ES score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Real Noroeste score 1.0 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitória ES | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Real Noroeste | 1.0 | 0.6 | 2 | 2/5 | 1/5 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vitória ES sit 1st in Capixaba (20 points from 9 matches) and Real Noroeste sit 7th (11 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitória ES | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 20 |
| 7 | Real Noroeste | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 11 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy