Vlašim vs Karviná: prediction and stats
FNLRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Kollárova ulice, Vlašim
The Footlab model makes Vlašim the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Karviná. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vlašim vs Karviná?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Vlašim (1,884) and Karviná (1,945).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vlašim have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Karviná have 10, 0 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Příbram(home) | 2-2 | FNL |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Kladno(away) | 1-1 | FNL |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Vysoké Mýto(away) | 4-2 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Viktoria Žižkov(home) | 4-1 | FNL |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Karviná(away) | 0-1 | FNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Viktoria Žižkov(home) | 3-0 | FNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Arsenal Česká Lípa(away) | 5-2 | FNL |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Brumov(away) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Prostějov(away) | 2-1 | FNL |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Vlašim(home) | 1-0 | FNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Vlašim win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Karviná win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Karviná 1-0 Vlašim | FNL |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Vlašim 2-1 Karviná | FNL |
| Aug 5, 2022 | Karviná 3-2 Vlašim | FNL |
| Sep 30, 2020 | Karviná 1-3 Vlašim | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Vlašim score 2.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Karviná score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vlašim | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Karviná | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Vlašim | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 41 | 34 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vlašim vs Karviná?
- The Footlab model makes Vlašim the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Karviná.
- Where and when is Vlašim vs Karviná played?
- Vlašim vs Karviná is played on November 29, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Kollárova ulice, in the FNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.