Voința Crevedia vs Flacăra Moreni: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 3Group 3 - 3Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Flacăra Moreni the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Voința Crevedia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Voința Crevedia vs Flacăra Moreni?
Flacăra Moreni starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,549 vs 1,433).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Voința Crevedia have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Flacăra Moreni have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Progresul Mogosoaia(away) | 0-3 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Urban Titu(away) | 3-1 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Urban Titu(home) | 1-0 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| May 9, 2026 | Pucioasa(away) | 3-0 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| May 1, 2026 | Kids Tâmpa Braşov(away) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Chindia Targoviste(home) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Pucioasa(away) | 7-0 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Dunarea Calarasi(away) | 7-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Înainte Modelu(home) | 0-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Popești-Leordeni(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Voința Crevedia win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Flacăra Moreni win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2025 | Flacăra Moreni 3-0 Voința Crevedia | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Voința Crevedia 0-2 Flacăra Moreni | Liga III - Serie 4 |
Last archived meeting: Flacăra Moreni vs Voința Crevedia on Nov 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Voința Crevedia score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Flacăra Moreni score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Voința Crevedia | 1.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Flacăra Moreni | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Voința Crevedia vs Flacăra Moreni?
- The Footlab model makes Flacăra Moreni the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Voința Crevedia.
- Where and when is Voința Crevedia vs Flacăra Moreni played?
- Voința Crevedia vs Flacăra Moreni is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga III - Serie 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.