Vranov nad Topľou vs Kežmarok: prediction and stats
3. liga - EastEast - 8Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Futbalový štadión FK Bukóza, Vranov nad Topľou
The Footlab model makes Vranov nad Topľou the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Kežmarok. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vranov nad Topľou vs Kežmarok?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Vranov nad Topľou (1,479) and Kežmarok (1,465).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vranov nad Topľou have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Kežmarok have 5, 0 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lipany(away) | 1-8 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | MSK Tesla Stropkov(home) | 2-3 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Spišská Nová Ves(away) | 0-2 | 3. liga - East |
| May 30, 2026 | Spartak Medzev(home) | 2-2 | 3. liga - East |
| May 23, 2026 | Košice II(away) | 0-4 | 3. liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Raslavice(away) | 0-1 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Poprad(home) | 0-2 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lipany(away) | 0-5 | 3. liga - East |
| May 30, 2026 | Snina(away) | 1-3 | 3. liga - East |
| May 23, 2026 | Humenné(home) | 0-6 | 3. liga - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Vranov nad Topľou win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Kežmarok win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Kežmarok 1-1 Vranov nad Topľou | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Vranov nad Topľou 1-1 Kežmarok | 3. liga - East |
Last archived meeting: Kežmarok vs Vranov nad Topľou on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vranov nad Topľou score 1.5 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kežmarok score 1.2 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vranov nad Topľou | 1.5 | 2.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Kežmarok | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vranov nad Topľou sit 12th in 3. liga - East (25 points from 26 matches) and Kežmarok sit 9th (31 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Kežmarok | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 48 | 31 |
| 12 | Vranov nad Topľou | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 45 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vranov nad Topľou vs Kežmarok?
- The Footlab model makes Vranov nad Topľou the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Kežmarok.
- Where and when is Vranov nad Topľou vs Kežmarok played?
- Vranov nad Topľou vs Kežmarok is played on September 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Futbalový štadión FK Bukóza, in the 3. liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.