Vukovar vs Kustosija: prediction and stats
First NLMatchday 13Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Gradski vrt, Osijek
The Footlab AI model makes Kustosija the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Vukovar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kustosija wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,760 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vukovar vs Kustosija?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Vukovar (1,711) and Kustosija (1,781).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vukovar vs Kustosija
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vukovar
4-3-3- 18N. Pajvancic
- 9F. Petkovic
- 25Rai
- 20S. Dias Semedo
- 8Ugosinho
- 15N. Zlatunic
- 5Krešimir Vrbanac
- 2L. Brodersen
- 21G. Pineda
- 3Niko Beros
- 1Adrian Hrvojevic
Kustosija
4-3-3- 9M. Gashi
- 2H. Soudani
- 11Jan Doležal
- 13M. Vuckovic
- 7David Žabec
- 18T. Krizmanić
- 25S. Sopić
- 3F. Markanovic
- 51Joshua Nichols
- 4Leon Zeqiraj
- 12A. RajiÄ
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 06:58 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vukovar have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Kustosija have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Karlovac 1919(away) | 4-1 | First NL |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Orijent 1919(away) | 2-3 | First NL |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bsk Bijelo Brdo(home) | 0-2 | First NL |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dubrava Zagreb(home) | 3-2 | First NL |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hrvace(home) | 1-0 | First NL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Orijent 1919(home) | 2-0 | First NL |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Bsk Bijelo Brdo(away) | 3-2 | First NL |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Dubrava Zagreb(away) | 2-1 | First NL |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hrvace(away) | 2-1 | First NL |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Opatija(away) | 1-1 | First NL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Vukovar wins, 1 draw, 0 Kustosija wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2023 | Vukovar 2-0 Kustosija | First NL |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Vukovar 3-0 Kustosija | First NL |
| Sep 22, 2022 | Kustosija 0-0 Vukovar | First NL |
How many goals should we expect?
Vukovar score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Kustosija score 1.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vukovar | 1.7 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Kustosija | 1.2 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vukovar sit 12th in First NL (14 points from 12 matches) and Kustosija sit 4th (19 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kustosija | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 19 |
| 12 | Vukovar | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 23 | 14 |
A question about Vukovar vs Kustosija?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vukovar vs Kustosija?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kustosija the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Vukovar.
- Where and when is Vukovar vs Kustosija played?
- Vukovar vs Kustosija is played on November 21, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Gradski vrt, in the First NL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.