Vulturii Fărcăşeşti vs Minerul Lupeni: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 6Group 6 - 6Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Comunal, Fărcăşeşti
The Footlab model makes Minerul Lupeni the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Vulturii Fărcăşeşti. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vulturii Fărcăşeşti vs Minerul Lupeni?
Minerul Lupeni starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,607 vs 1,473).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vulturii Fărcăşeşti have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Minerul Lupeni have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | CSM Targu Jiu(away) | 2-3 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Cetatea(away) | 2-4 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 15, 2026 | CS U Craiova II(home) | 0-4 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | LPS HD Clinceni(away) | 1-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 1, 2026 | Academica Balș(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Unirea Slobozia(home) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Jiul Petroşani(away) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Caransebes(away) | 0-0 | Cupa României |
| May 30, 2026 | Unirea Alba Iulia(home) | 0-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 23, 2026 | CS U Craiova II(away) | 3-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Vulturii Fărcăşeşti win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Minerul Lupeni win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Vulturii Fărcăşeşti 3-1 Minerul Lupeni | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Minerul Lupeni 3-2 Vulturii Fărcăşeşti | Liga III - Serie 6 |
Last archived meeting: Vulturii Fărcăşeşti vs Minerul Lupeni on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vulturii Fărcăşeşti score 1.9 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Minerul Lupeni score 1.3 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vulturii Fărcăşeşti | 1.9 | 2.6 | 1 | 11/15 | 14/15 |
| Minerul Lupeni | 1.3 | 0.5 | 11 | 2/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vulturii Fărcăşeşti sit 3rd in Liga III - Serie 6 (38 points from 22 matches) and Minerul Lupeni sit 2nd (40 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Minerul Lupeni | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 23 | 40 |
| 3 | Vulturii Fărcăşeşti | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 52 | 41 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vulturii Fărcăşeşti vs Minerul Lupeni?
- The Footlab model makes Minerul Lupeni the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Vulturii Fărcăşeşti.
- Where and when is Vulturii Fărcăşeşti vs Minerul Lupeni played?
- Vulturii Fărcăşeşti vs Minerul Lupeni is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Comunal, in the Liga III - Serie 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.