Wanchai vs Tuen Mun SA: result 4-0 and analysis
HKFA 1st DivisionRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 12, 2014 at 05:30 AM (UTC)Happy Valley Recreation Ground #6, Hong Kong
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What was the result of Wanchai vs Tuen Mun SA?
Wanchai won 4-0 on October 12, 2014.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wanchai have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Tuen Mun SA have 1, 0 and 14.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2014 | Resources Capital(away) | 0-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 28, 2014 | Happy Valley(home) | 2-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 14, 2014 | Kwun Tong(home) | 2-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 7, 2014 | Shatin(away) | 0-5 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Apr 27, 2014 | Wing Yee(home) | 0-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2014 | Kwun Tong(home) | 1-4 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 28, 2014 | Shatin(home) | 1-7 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 21, 2014 | Metro Gallery Sun Source(away) | 0-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 14, 2014 | Kwai Tsing(away) | 1-3 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 7, 2014 | Sun Hei(home) | 2-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Wanchai score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tuen Mun SA score 0.7 and concede 3.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wanchai | 1.1 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Tuen Mun SA | 0.7 | 3.8 | 0 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy