Wathba vs Horriya: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueMatchday 6Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Khaled bin Walid Stadium, Homs
The Footlab AI model makes Wathba the favourite at 69%, against 22% for a draw and 9% for Horriya. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,580 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wathba vs Horriya?
Wathba is a heavy favourite: 1,763 Elo points against 1,447, a 316-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Wathba vs Horriya
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Wathba
4-3-3- 20Wil Viana
- 30G. Politino
- 7Mohammad Wael Al Rifaee
- 24Muhamed Alghoul
- 33Burhan Sahiwni
- 23Ibrahim Al Abdallah
- 95Khaled Ibrahim
- 25Youssef Al Hamawi
- 16I. Al Khalil
- 43Hadi Faisal Al Masri
- 80William Ghannam
Horriya
Not enough data to predict the Horriya lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 11:23 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wathba have 13 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; Horriya have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Foutoua(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Al Taliya(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Shorta(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Istiqlol(away) | 2-0 | AFC Challenge League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Al Nejmeh(home) | 2-1 | AFC Challenge League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Shorta(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Damascus Al-Ahli(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Al Taliya(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hottin(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al Ittihad(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Wathba wins, 2 draws, 0 Horriya wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Wathba 1-0 Horriya | Premier League |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Horriya 0-3 Wathba | Premier League |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Wathba 2-1 Horriya | Premier League |
| Nov 24, 2023 | Horriya 1-4 Wathba | Premier League |
| Feb 10, 2021 | Horriya 1-1 Wathba | Premier League |
| Oct 30, 2020 | Wathba 1-1 Horriya | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Wathba score 1.7 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Horriya score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wathba | 1.7 | 0.3 | 10 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Horriya | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wathba sit 3rd in Premier League (10 points from 4 matches) and Horriya sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wathba | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Horriya | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
A question about Wathba vs Horriya?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wathba vs Horriya?
- The Footlab AI model makes Wathba the favourite at 69%, against 22% for a draw and 9% for Horriya.
- Where and when is Wathba vs Horriya played?
- Wathba vs Horriya is played on November 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Khaled bin Walid Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.