Weissenfels vs SC Freital: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-SüdNOFV- Sud - 24Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Weissenfels the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for SC Freital. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Weissenfels vs SC Freital?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Weissenfels (1,764) and SC Freital (1,799).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, Weissenfels have 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; SC Freital have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Union Sandersdorf(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Frankfurt(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Frankfurt(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dresden II(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 30, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 17, 2026 | Auerbach(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 10, 2026 | Germania Halberstadt(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
How many goals should we expect?
Weissenfels score 2.0 and concede 0.0 goals per match over their last 2; SC Freital score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weissenfels | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 0/2 | 1/2 |
| SC Freital | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Weissenfels sit 2nd in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd (6 points from 2 matches) and SC Freital sit 5th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Weissenfels | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | SC Freital | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Weissenfels vs SC Freital?
- The Footlab model makes Weissenfels the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for SC Freital.
- Where and when is Weissenfels vs SC Freital played?
- Weissenfels vs SC Freital is played on April 11, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Nordost-Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.