Welling United vs Aveley: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 35Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Acclaim Handling Community Stadium, Welling, Kent
The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Welling United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Welling United vs Aveley?
Aveley starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,883 vs 1,769).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Welling United have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Aveley have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dartford(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stanway Rovers(home) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Leatherhead(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Whitehawk(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Three Bridges(away) | 5-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Whitehawk(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Southend(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Welling United win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Aveley win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | Aveley 2-1 Welling United | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Welling United 0-1 Aveley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Nov 29, 2024 | Aveley 1-1 Welling United | National League - South |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Welling United 1-0 Aveley | National League - South |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Welling United 1-3 Aveley | National League - South |
| Dec 4, 2023 | Aveley 2-2 Welling United | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Aveley vs Welling United on Jan 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Welling United score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Aveley score 2.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Welling United | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Aveley | 2.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Welling United sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Isthmian (9 points from 4 matches) and Aveley sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Welling United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Aveley | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Welling United vs Aveley?
- The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Welling United.
- Where and when is Welling United vs Aveley played?
- Welling United vs Aveley is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Acclaim Handling Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 6, 2027DartfordvsStanway Rovers
- Mar 6, 2027LeatherheadvsWhitehawk
- Mar 6, 2027Brentwood TownvsLewes
- Mar 6, 2027Burgess Hill TownvsCarshalton Athletic
- Mar 6, 2027WhyteleafevsEastbourne Borough
- Mar 6, 2027Maldon & TiptreevsEnfield Town
- Mar 6, 2027Three BridgesvsRamsgate
- Mar 6, 2027CheshuntvsWingate & Finchley