Match

Welling United vs Aveley: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 35Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Acclaim Handling Community Stadium, Welling, Kent

Welling UnitedAveley

The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Welling United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Welling United vs Aveley?

Aveley starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,883 vs 1,769).

Welling United win32 %
Draw24 %
Aveley win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Welling United have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Aveley have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Welling United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dartford(away)3-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Stanway Rovers(home)4-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Leatherhead(away)1-4Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Whitehawk(home)2-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 1, 2026Folkestone Invicta(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Aveley
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Three Bridges(away)5-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Whitehawk(home)3-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Maldon & Tiptree(away)0-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Eastbourne Borough(home)2-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 1, 2026Southend(away)0-4Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Welling United win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Aveley win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 19, 2026Aveley 2-1 Welling UnitedNon League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 12, 2025Welling United 0-1 AveleyNon League Premier - Isthmian
Nov 29, 2024Aveley 1-1 Welling UnitedNational League - South
Aug 10, 2024Welling United 1-0 AveleyNational League - South
Jan 6, 2024Welling United 1-3 AveleyNational League - South
Dec 4, 2023Aveley 2-2 Welling UnitedNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Aveley vs Welling United on Jan 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Welling United score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Aveley score 2.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Welling United2.01.358/159/15
Aveley2.41.7310/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Welling United sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Isthmian (9 points from 4 matches) and Aveley sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Welling United43011049
6Aveley42111067

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Welling United vs Aveley?
The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Welling United.
Where and when is Welling United vs Aveley played?
Welling United vs Aveley is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Acclaim Handling Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Welling United and Aveley

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