Welling United vs Aveley: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 35Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Acclaim Handling Community Stadium, Welling, Kent
The Footlab AI model makes Welling United the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Aveley. The most likely score is 1-1. If Welling United wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Welling United vs Aveley?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Welling United (1,833) and Aveley (1,872).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Welling United vs Aveley
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Welling United
Not enough data to predict the Welling United lineup.
Aveley
Not enough data to predict the Aveley lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Welling United have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Aveley have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Whyteleafe(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Chertsey Town(home) | 2-3 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(away) | 1-4 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Burgess Hill Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Cheshunt(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Ware(home) | 3-1 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Brentwood Town(home) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Welling United win, 2 draws, 3 Aveley wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | Aveley 2-1 Welling United | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Welling United 0-1 Aveley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Nov 29, 2024 | Aveley 1-1 Welling United | National League - South |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Welling United 1-0 Aveley | National League - South |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Welling United 1-3 Aveley | National League - South |
| Dec 4, 2023 | Aveley 2-2 Welling United | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Aveley vs Welling United on Jan 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Welling United score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Aveley score 1.8 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Welling United | 1.7 | 1.3 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Aveley | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Welling United sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Isthmian (24 points from 11 matches) and Aveley sit 17th (11 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Welling United | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 24 |
| 17 | Aveley | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 19 | 11 |
A question about Welling United vs Aveley?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Welling United vs Aveley?
- The Footlab AI model makes Welling United the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Aveley.
- Where and when is Welling United vs Aveley played?
- Welling United vs Aveley is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Acclaim Handling Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 6, 2027DartfordvsStanway Rovers
- Mar 6, 2027LeatherheadvsWhitehawk
- Mar 6, 2027Brentwood TownvsLewes
- Mar 6, 2027Burgess Hill TownvsCarshalton Athletic
- Mar 6, 2027WhyteleafevsEastbourne Borough
- Mar 6, 2027Maldon & TiptreevsEnfield Town
- Mar 6, 2027Three BridgesvsRamsgate
- Mar 6, 2027CheshuntvsWingate & Finchley