Wilrijk vs Diegem Sport: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - VFV BVFV B - 7Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Sportcomplex Ter Beke, Wilrijk
The Footlab model makes Wilrijk the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Diegem Sport. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wilrijk vs Diegem Sport?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Wilrijk (1,847) and Diegem Sport (1,781).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wilrijk have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Diegem Sport have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Beerschot VA(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Crossing Schaerbeek(away) | 1-4 | Cup |
| Aug 10, 2025 | RESC Houffaloise(home) | 6-1 | Cup |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Zonhoven United(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Jul 12, 2025 | Beerschot VA(home) | 0-9 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Spouwen-Mopertingen(home) | 2-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Thes Sport(away) | 3-6 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Roeselare Daisel(away) | 2-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Ninove(home) | 5-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Tienen(away) | 1-5 | First Amateur Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Wilrijk score 2.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Diegem Sport score 1.7 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilrijk | 2.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Diegem Sport | 1.7 | 2.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Diegem Sport | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 66 | 33 | 62 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wilrijk vs Diegem Sport?
- The Footlab model makes Wilrijk the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Diegem Sport.
- Where and when is Wilrijk vs Diegem Sport played?
- Wilrijk vs Diegem Sport is played on October 10, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Sportcomplex Ter Beke, in the Second Amateur Division - VFV B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.