Wofoo Tai Po vs Kitchee: prediction and stats
Senior ShieldQuarter-finalsKick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Tai Po Sports Ground, Tai Po
The Footlab model makes Wofoo Tai Po the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Kitchee. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wofoo Tai Po vs Kitchee?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Wofoo Tai Po (1,684) and Kitchee (1,685).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wofoo Tai Po have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Kitchee have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | North District(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| May 30, 2026 | Eastern District(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| May 23, 2026 | BC Rangers(home) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| May 17, 2026 | Warriors(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| May 9, 2026 | Eastern(away) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | BC Rangers(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Prime Bangkok(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Eastern(home) | 4-4 | Premier League |
| May 2, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | North District(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Wofoo Tai Po win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Kitchee win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po 3-0 Kitchee | Premier League |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po 1-1 Kitchee | FA Cup |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Kitchee 4-2 Wofoo Tai Po | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Wofoo Tai Po 1-1 Kitchee | Premier League |
| May 17, 2025 | Kitchee 0-1 Wofoo Tai Po | Premier League |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Kitchee 2-3 Wofoo Tai Po | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Wofoo Tai Po vs Kitchee on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wofoo Tai Po score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kitchee score 2.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wofoo Tai Po | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Kitchee | 2.3 | 1.4 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wofoo Tai Po vs Kitchee?
- The Footlab model makes Wofoo Tai Po the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Kitchee.
- Where and when is Wofoo Tai Po vs Kitchee played?
- Wofoo Tai Po vs Kitchee is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Tai Po Sports Ground, in the Senior Shield.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.