Worthing vs AFC Hornchurch: result 1-4 and analysis
FA Cup3rd Round QualifyingKick-off on October 10, 2015 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sussex Transport Community Stadium, Worthing, West Sussex
Full time
What was the result of Worthing vs AFC Hornchurch?
AFC Hornchurch won 1-4 on October 10, 2015.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Worthing have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; AFC Hornchurch have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2015 | St Neots Town(home) | 4-4 | FA Cup |
| Oct 3, 2015 | Whitstable Town(away) | 4-2 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 26, 2015 | St Neots Town(away) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2015 | Thamesmead Town(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Aug 29, 2015 | Walton & Hersham(home) | 4-2 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2015 | Phoenix Sports(away) | 5-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2015 | Cambridge City(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Aug 29, 2015 | St Margaretsbury(away) | 5-1 | FA Cup |
| Nov 29, 2014 | Wimborne Town(away) | 2-4 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 15, 2014 | Merstham(home) | 4-2 | FA Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Worthing score 1.6 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Hornchurch score 2.8 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worthing | 1.6 | 2.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| AFC Hornchurch | 2.8 | 1.8 | 1 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2015North Ferriby United2-1Nuneaton Town
- Oct 10, 2015Solihull Moors1-1Worcester City
- Oct 10, 2015AFC Fylde9-0Coleshill Town
- Oct 10, 2015Harrogate Town3-0Burscough
- Oct 10, 2015Salford City1-1Bradford (Park Avenue)
- Oct 10, 2015Brackley Town1-1Rugby Town
- Oct 10, 2015Chesham United2-0North Leigh
- Oct 10, 2015Maidstone Utd2-0Dunstable Town