Worthing vs Crawley Down Gatwick: result 3-3 and analysis
FA TrophyPreliminary RoundKick-off on October 8, 2011 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sussex Transport Community Stadium, Worthing, West Sussex
Full time
What was the result of Worthing vs Crawley Down Gatwick?
Worthing and Crawley Down Gatwick drew 3-3 on October 8, 2011.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Worthing have 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats; Crawley Down Gatwick have 0, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2011 | Beckenham Town(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 1, 2011 | Beckenham Town(home) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 17, 2011 | Chatham Town(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2011 | VCD Athletic(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Worthing score 1.0 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 3; Crawley Down Gatwick score 0.0 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worthing | 1.0 | 0.3 | 2 | 1/3 | 1/3 |
| Crawley Down Gatwick | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 |
Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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