Xelajú vs Deportivo San Pedro: prediction and stats
Liga NacionalRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Mario Camposeco, Quetzaltenango
The Footlab model makes Xelajú the favourite at 67%, against 22% for a draw and 11% for Deportivo San Pedro. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Xelajú vs Deportivo San Pedro?
Xelajú starts as the favourite with a 188-point Elo edge (1,698 vs 1,510).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Xelajú have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Deportivo San Pedro have 3, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Municipal(away) | 0-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Diriangén(home) | 2-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Plaza Amador(away) | 2-5 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Malacateco(away) | 2-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Aurora(home) | 3-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Malacateco(away) | 0-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Aurora(home) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Suchitepéquez(home) | 3-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Comunicaciones(away) | 0-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Xelajú(home) | 1-0 | Liga Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Xelajú win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Deportivo San Pedro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Deportivo San Pedro 1-0 Xelajú | Liga Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo San Pedro vs Xelajú on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Xelajú score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo San Pedro score 1.2 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xelajú | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Deportivo San Pedro | 1.2 | 0.8 | 2 | 1/5 | 2/5 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Xelajú | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 19 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Xelajú vs Deportivo San Pedro?
- The Footlab model makes Xelajú the favourite at 67%, against 22% for a draw and 11% for Deportivo San Pedro.
- Where and when is Xelajú vs Deportivo San Pedro played?
- Xelajú vs Deportivo San Pedro is played on October 4, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Mario Camposeco, in the Liga Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.