Yadanarbon vs Sagaing United: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Bahtoo Memorial Stadium, Mandalay
The Footlab AI model makes Yadanarbon the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Sagaing United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Yadanarbon wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yadanarbon vs Sagaing United?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Yadanarbon (1,224) and Sagaing United (1,236).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Yadanarbon vs Sagaing United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Yadanarbon
4-3-3- 8Aung Thu
- 9Paing Yan
- 11Naing Thet
- 16Ko Tun Myo
- 26Yint Tun Ye
- 5Aung Si Thu
- 3Than Win Thein
- 2William Biassi Nyakwe
- 30Myo Aung Nay
- 24Oo Kyaw Thet
- 25Lyan Aung Pyae
Sagaing United
Not enough data to predict the Sagaing United lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 12:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yadanarbon have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Sagaing United have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Myawady(away) | 2-0 | National League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Yangon Royals(away) | 0-0 | National League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | GFA(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Mar 16, 2026 | Dagon Port(away) | 0-1 | National League |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Yangon United(home) | 2-3 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | GFA(home) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | I.S.P.E(away) | 4-2 | National League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Yangon United(away) | 0-2 | National League |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Ayeyawady United(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Mar 12, 2026 | Shan United(away) | 1-2 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Yadanarbon wins, 2 draws, 2 Sagaing United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | Sagaing United 2-1 Yadanarbon | National League |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Yadanarbon 3-2 Sagaing United | National League |
| Feb 3, 2025 | Sagaing United 2-0 Yadanarbon | National League |
| Jul 12, 2024 | Yadanarbon 3-2 Sagaing United | National League |
| Oct 20, 2023 | Yadanarbon 0-0 Sagaing United | National League |
| Mar 9, 2023 | Sagaing United 0-0 Yadanarbon | National League |
Last archived meeting: Sagaing United vs Yadanarbon on Jan 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Yadanarbon score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Sagaing United score 1.8 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yadanarbon | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Sagaing United | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yadanarbon sit 3rd in National League (7 points from 3 matches) and Sagaing United sit 7th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Yadanarbon | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Sagaing United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
A question about Yadanarbon vs Sagaing United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yadanarbon vs Sagaing United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Yadanarbon the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Sagaing United.
- Where and when is Yadanarbon vs Sagaing United played?
- Yadanarbon vs Sagaing United is played on December 12, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Bahtoo Memorial Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.