Where and when is Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK played?

Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK is played on February 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yalova Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 23Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Yalova Atatürk Stadyumu, Yalova

Yalova Yeşilovaspor

Karadeniz Ereğli BSK

The Footlab model makes Karadeniz Ereğli BSK the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Yalova Yeşilovaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK?

A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Yalova Yeşilovaspor (1,559) and Karadeniz Ereğli BSK (1,638).

Yalova Yeşilovaspor win33 %

Draw29 %

Karadeniz Ereğli BSK win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yalova Yeşilovaspor have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Karadeniz Ereğli BSK have 10, 1 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Yalova Yeşilovaspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	İnkılapspor(away)	0-1	3. Lig - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026	Çorluspor 1947(home)	0-2	3. Lig - Group 1
Apr 5, 2026	Etimesgut SK(away)	0-2	3. Lig - Group 1
Mar 28, 2026	1926 Polatlı Belediye(home)	1-2	3. Lig - Group 1
Mar 24, 2026	Nilüfer Belediye(away)	2-3	3. Lig - Group 1

Karadeniz Ereğli BSK
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 28, 2026	Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(home)	0-3	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 24, 2026	Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(away)	0-1	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 18, 2026	Orduspor 1967(home)	5-3	3. Lig - Group 3
Apr 12, 2026	1926 Bulancak(away)	0-1	3. Lig - Group 3
Apr 5, 2026	Çayelispor(home)	1-0	3. Lig - Group 3

How many goals should we expect?

Yalova Yeşilovaspor score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Karadeniz Ereğli BSK score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Yalova Yeşilovaspor	1.1	1.3	4	8/15	6/15
Karadeniz Ereğli BSK	1.2	0.9	8	3/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Yalova Yeşilovaspor	30	9	10	11	38	36	37

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK?: The Footlab model makes Karadeniz Ereğli BSK the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Yalova Yeşilovaspor.
Where and when is Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK played?: Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK is played on February 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yalova Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.