Match

Yeni Malatyaspor vs Osmaniyespor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 29Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Malatya Stadyumu, Malatya

Yeni MalatyasporOsmaniyespor

The Footlab model makes Osmaniyespor the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Yeni Malatyaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Yeni Malatyaspor vs Osmaniyespor?

Osmaniyespor starts as the favourite with a 191-point Elo edge (1,536 vs 1,344).

Yeni Malatyaspor win29 %
Draw27 %
Osmaniyespor win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yeni Malatyaspor have 0 wins, 2 draws and 13 defeats; Osmaniyespor have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Yeni Malatyaspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2025Arnavutköy Belediyespor(home)0-02. Lig
Nov 2, 2025Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu(away)1-32. Lig
Oct 25, 20251461 Trabzon FK(home)0-42. Lig
Oct 19, 2025Muş Sport Klübü(away)1-32. Lig
Oct 11, 2025Aliağa FAŞ(away)1-82. Lig
Osmaniyespor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Kırşehir Belediyespor(away)2-03. Lig - Group 2
Apr 12, 202612 Bingölspor(home)1-23. Lig - Group 2
Apr 5, 2026Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu(away)1-33. Lig - Group 2
Mar 28, 2026Kapadokyaspor(home)3-33. Lig - Group 2
Mar 24, 2026Yeşilyurt Belediyespor(away)2-33. Lig - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Yeni Malatyaspor score 0.6 and concede 4.5 goals per match over their last 15; Osmaniyespor score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Yeni Malatyaspor0.64.519/1512/15
Osmaniyespor1.31.738/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Yeni Malatyaspor vs Osmaniyespor?
The Footlab model makes Osmaniyespor the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Yeni Malatyaspor.
Where and when is Yeni Malatyaspor vs Osmaniyespor played?
Yeni Malatyaspor vs Osmaniyespor is played on March 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Malatya Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Yeni Malatyaspor and Osmaniyespor

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